Wednesday, October 2, 2013

Deutsche Bank Upgrades Barrick Gold to “Buy” (ABX)

Deutsche Bank reported on Wednesday that it has upgraded Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) to “Buy.”

The firm has raised its rating on ABX from “Hold” to “Buy,” and has raised the company’s price target from $20 to $30. This price target suggests a 40% increase from the stock’s current price of $18.03.

Analyst Jorge Beristain noted that the price target was being re-set at 0.8x DBe NPV versus 0.6x previously “as we believe that the risk of an equity issue has receded, thanks to a comprehensive program to shore up the balance sheet unveiled with 2Q13 results and follow through.”

Beristain added, “Barrick's plan includes $4bn in capex cuts/deferrals over 4 years, an immediate 6% reduction in cash operating costs and a 15% cut to exploration expenditures. A 75% reduction in dividends will save a further $600m per year. A portfolio review should see some marginally profitable mines (defined as those with AISC>$1,000/oz) either shuttered or sold. In August, the company unveiled the sale of its Yilgarn South (YS) three-mine 425k oz p.a. complex (5.5% of attributable volumes) for $300m. We look for Barrick's divestiture program to continue with Plutonic (110k oz @ $1,134/oz AISC) and Porgera (464k oz @ $1,317/oz AISC) gold mines, with the former bringing in $45-77m and proceeds from the latter falling in the very broad $70-275m range.”

Barrick Gold shares were up 32 cents, or 1.77%, during pre-market trading Wednesday. The stock is down 49% YTD.

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