Can China Yuchai International Meet These Numbers?

China Yuchai International (NYSE: CYD  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 27. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict China Yuchai International's revenues will expand 5.2% and EPS will wither -20.4%.

The average estimate for revenue is $625.1 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.21.

Revenue details
Last quarter, China Yuchai International reported revenue of $492.6 million. GAAP reported sales were 9.4% lower than the prior-year quarter's $540.2 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.48. GAAP EPS of $0.47 for Q3 were 74% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.27 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 20.2%, 20 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 7.0%, 220 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 3.6%, 180 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $2.26 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.70.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 352 members out of 383 rating the stock outperform, and 31 members rating it underperform. Among 57 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 51 give China Yuchai International a green thumbs-up, and six give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on China Yuchai International is hold, with an average price target of $13.00.

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